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Scaling Sign Language Translation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Sign language translation (SL T) addresses the problem of translating information from a sign language in video to a spoken language in text. Existing studies, while showing progress, are often limited to narrow domains and/or few sign languages and struggle with open-domain tasks. In this paper, we push forward the frontier of SL T by scaling pretraining data, model size, and number of translation directions. We perform large-scale SL T pretraining on different data including 1) noisy multilingual Y ouTube SL T data, 2) parallel text corpora, and 3) SL T data augmented by translating video captions to other languages with off-the-shelf machine translation models. We unify different pretraining tasks with task-specific prompts under the encoder-decoder architecture, and initialize the SL T model with pretrained (m/By)T5 models across model sizes. SL T pretraining results on How2Sign and FLEURS-ASL#0 (ASL to 42 spoken languages) demonstrate the significance of data/model scaling and cross-lingual cross-modal transfer, as well as the feasibility of zero-shot SL T. We finetune the pretrained SL T models on 5 downstream open-domain SL T benchmarks covering 5 sign languages. Experiments show substantial quality improvements over the vanilla baselines, surpassing the previous state-of-the-art (SOT A) by wide margins.



Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting with Temporal Polynomial Graph Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Modeling multivariate time series (MTS) is critical in modern intelligent systems. The accurate forecast of MTS data is still challenging due to the complicated latent variable correlation. Recent works apply the Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to the task, with the basic idea of representing the correlation as a static graph. However, predicting with a static graph causes significant bias because the correlation is time-varying in the real-world MTS data. Besides, there is no gap analysis between the actual correlation and the learned one in their works to validate the effectiveness.


Shylock: Causal Discovery in Multivariate Time Series based on Hybrid Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--Causal relationship discovery has been drawing increasing attention due to its prevalent application. Existing methods rely on human experience, statistical methods, or graphical criteria methods which are error-prone, stuck at the idealized assumption, and rely on a huge amount of data. And there is also a serious data gap in accessing Multivariate time series(MTS) in many areas, adding difficulty in finding their causal relationship. Existing methods are easy to be over-fitting on them. T o fill the gap we mentioned above, in this paper, we propose Shylock, a novel method that can work well in both few-shot and normal MTS to find the causal relationship. Shylock can reduce the number of parameters exponentially by using group dilated convolution and a sharing kernel, but still learn a better representation of variables with time delay. By combing the global constraint and the local constraint, Shylock achieves information sharing among networks to help improve the accuracy. T o evaluate the performance of Shylock, we also design a data generation method to generate MTS with time delay. We evaluate it on commonly used benchmarks and generated datasets. Extensive experiments show that Shylock outperforms two existing state-of-art methods on both few-shot and normal MTS.




Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting with Temporal Polynomial Graph Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Modeling multivariate time series (MTS) is critical in modern intelligent systems. The accurate forecast of MTS data is still challenging due to the complicated latent variable correlation. Recent works apply the Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to the task, with the basic idea of representing the correlation as a static graph. However, predicting with a static graph causes significant bias because the correlation is time-varying in the real-world MTS data. Besides, there is no gap analysis between the actual correlation and the learned one in their works to validate the effectiveness.


Reprogramming Foundational Large Language Models(LLMs) for Enterprise Adoption for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Applications: Unveiling a New Era in Copilot-Guided Cross-Modal Time Series Representation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a hybrid approach that combines the strengths of open-source large and small-scale language models (LLMs and LMs) with traditional forecasting methods. We augment traditional methods with dynamic prompting and a grouped-query, multi-head attention mechanism to more effectively capture both intra-series and inter-series dependencies in evolving nonlinear time series data. In addition, we facilitate on-premises customization by fine-tuning smaller open-source LMs for time series trend analysis utilizing descriptions generated by open-source large LMs on consumer-grade hardware using Low-Rank Adaptation with Activation Memory Reduction (LoRA-AMR) technique to reduce computational overhead and activation storage memory demands while preserving inference latency. We combine language model processing for time series trend analysis with traditional time series representation learning method for cross-modal integration, achieving robust and accurate forecasts. The framework effectiveness is demonstrated through extensive experiments on various real-world datasets, outperforming existing methods by significant margins in terms of forecast accuracy.


Multi-Source Knowledge-Based Hybrid Neural Framework for Time Series Representation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurately predicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) in interconnected sensor networks, is crucial for informed decision-making in various applications to minimize risk. While graph forecasting networks(GFNs) are ideal for forecasting MTS data that exhibit spatio-temporal dependencies, prior works rely solely on the domain-specific knowledge of time-series variables inter-relationships to model the nonlinear dynamics, neglecting inherent relational structural dependencies among the variables within the MTS data. In contrast, contemporary works infer relational structures from MTS data but neglect domain-specific knowledge. The proposed hybrid architecture addresses these limitations by combining both domain-specific knowledge and implicit knowledge of the relational structure underlying the MTS data using Knowledge-Based Compositional Generalization. The hybrid architecture shows promising results on multiple benchmark datasets, outperforming state-of-the-art forecasting methods. Additionally, the architecture models the time varying uncertainty of multi-horizon forecasts.


Joint Hypergraph Rewiring and Memory-Augmented Forecasting Techniques in Digital Twin Technology

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Digital Twin technology creates virtual replicas of physical objects, processes, or systems by replicating their properties, data, and behaviors. This advanced technology offers a range of intelligent functionalities, such as modeling, simulation, and data-driven decision-making, that facilitate design optimization, performance estimation, and monitoring operations. Forecasting plays a pivotal role in Digital Twin technology, as it enables the prediction of future outcomes, supports informed decision-making, minimizes risks, driving improvements in efficiency, productivity, and cost reduction. Recently, Digital Twin technology has leveraged Graph forecasting techniques in large-scale complex sensor networks to enable accurate forecasting and simulation of diverse scenarios, fostering proactive and data-driven decision making. However, existing Graph forecasting techniques lack scalability for many real-world applications. They have limited ability to adapt to non-stationary environments, retain past knowledge, lack a mechanism to capture the higher order spatio-temporal dynamics, and estimate uncertainty in model predictions. To surmount the challenges, we introduce a hybrid architecture that enhances the hypergraph representation learning backbone by incorporating fast adaptation to new patterns and memory-based retrieval of past knowledge. This balance aims to improve the slowly-learned backbone and achieve better performance in adapting to recent changes. In addition, it models the time-varying uncertainty of multi-horizon forecasts, providing estimates of prediction uncertainty. Our forecasting architecture has been validated through ablation studies and has demonstrated promising results across multiple benchmark datasets, surpassing state-ofthe-art forecasting methods by a significant margin.